Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 69.74%1.43fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -5.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.70%69.51%71.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.361.4075.76%74.10%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 30.26%3.30fair odd
EV +0.169%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.073%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.51%30.30%30.49%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.083.3135.09%32.32%32.41%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 69.74%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 30.26%. For Oregon Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.169%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -7.95%E -6.02%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV +0.169%E +0.051%K +0.073%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 23:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -7.95%E -6.02%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV +0.169%E +0.051%K +0.073%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 23:49
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 20:49
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.55%E -4.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 20:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.95%E -6.02%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.95%E -6.02%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 23:00
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.95%E -6.02%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 23:00
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.46%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 11:19
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 20:39
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -4.46%E -3.26%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -7.09%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 11:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.46%E -3.26%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -8.61%E -2.85%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 20:39
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 23:28
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 00:29
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.25%E -5.45%K -21.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-06 20:39
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -9.82%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.37%E -1.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 12:50
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -6.55%E -4.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -13.75%E -4.83%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-06 20:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%4.2%2026-06-06 23:50