Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 70.94%1.41fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.45%70.98%71.12%73.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.331.3977.52%75.70%75.47%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV +2.87%
Edge +0.810%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%29.02%28.88%32.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.223.203.5434.72%31.04%31.25%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 70.94%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 29.06%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -8.49%E -6.58%K -29.26%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV +2.87%E +0.810%K +1.13%G +0.032%5.8%2026-03-15 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -8.49%E -6.58%K -29.26%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV +2.87%E +0.810%K +1.13%G +0.032%5.8%2026-03-15 18:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.07%E -5.39%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.70%E +0.487%K +0.682%G +0.012%4.9%2026-03-15 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -8.49%E -6.58%K -29.26%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -0.620%E -0.181%K -0.256%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 17:59
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.49%E -6.58%K -29.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 17:59
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.49%E -6.58%K -29.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.07%E -5.39%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.65%E -0.792%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:59
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.36%E -4.82%K -19.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.36%E -4.82%K -19.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:59
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:59
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:59
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:59
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:59
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.52%E -2.59%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 17:59
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.65%E -4.25%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:59
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.36%E -4.82%K -19.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 17:59
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -1.39%E -1.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -16.31%E -5.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%4.8%2026-03-15 17:59