Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 68.14%1.47fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -11.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%68.30%68.12%70.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.371.361.4074.63%72.96%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 31.86%3.14fair odd
EV +0.372%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%31.70%31.88%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.832.942.953.1535.34%34.02%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 68.14%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 31.86%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.372%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.70%E -6.49%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.372%E +0.118%K +0.173%G +0.001%6.4%2026-03-13 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.97%E -4.33%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 23:29
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.39%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.39%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.39%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.39%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.65%E -4.86%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 23:28
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 23:29
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -5.29%E -3.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -5.29%E -3.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 23:29
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -5.29%E -3.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 23:27
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.61%E -3.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 23:28
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.34%E -5.39%K -20.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 23:29
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.70%E -6.49%K -25.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 23:30
BetUS🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -5.29%E -3.81%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%5.3%2026-03-13 23:29