Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 69.26%1.44fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -11.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.91%69.38%69.36%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.361.3876.34%73.84%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV -0.092%
Edge -0.028%
Kelly -0.041%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.62%30.64%32.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.023.003.2534.72%33.15%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 69.26%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 30.74%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.253. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.250, with an expected value of -0.092%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -4.42%E -3.20%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -10.24%E -3.51%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.12%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -5.01%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:20
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 13:41
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:44
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 18:45
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 18:45
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.81%E -4.27%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 18:45
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -6.50%E -4.81%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -6.86%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.19%E -5.37%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.63%E -0.509%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:44
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.092%E -0.028%K -0.041%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 04:05
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:45
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.27%E -7.08%K -29.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%4.3%2026-03-14 19:15