Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

76%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 76.13%1.31fair odd

EV +1.25%

Edge +0.941%

Kelly +3.79%

Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.11%75.79%76.19%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.151.231.231.3386.96%81.38%81.30%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 23.87%4.19fair odd

EV +19.36%

Edge +3.87%

Kelly +4.84%

Growth +0.937%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.70%24.21%23.81%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.124.024.005.0032.05%24.87%25.00%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 76.13%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 23.87%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -12.45%E -10.83%K -83.01%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +19.36%E +3.87%K +4.84%G +0.937%	7.0%	2026-03-27 22:50
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.65%E -7.20%K -43.23%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.42%E +1.65%K +2.12%G +0.157%	5.6%	2026-03-27 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.65%E -7.20%K -43.23%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.42%E +1.65%K +2.12%G +0.157%	5.6%	2026-03-27 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.65%E -7.20%K -43.23%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.42%E +1.65%K +2.12%G +0.157%	5.6%	2026-03-27 23:05
BetRivers🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -11.69%E -10.08%K -73.07%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +5.03%E +1.14%K +1.48%G +0.075%	8.9%	2026-03-27 22:35
betPARX🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -11.69%E -10.08%K -73.07%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +5.03%E +1.14%K +1.48%G +0.075%	8.9%	2026-03-27 22:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -11.69%E -10.08%K -73.07%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +5.03%E +1.14%K +1.48%G +0.075%	8.9%	2026-03-27 22:35
Caesars🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.84%E -3.87%K -19.36%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-27 23:50
DraftKings🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-27 23:50
Bovada🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.66%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.71%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-27 23:53
Fliff🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -9.41%E -7.90%K -49.51%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -5.71%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-27 21:40
BetMGM🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.84%E -3.87%K -19.36%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-27 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-27 19:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.32%E -2.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-27 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV +1.25%E +0.941%K +3.79%G +0.047%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -23.13%E -7.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV +1.25%E +0.941%K +3.79%G +0.047%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -23.13%E -7.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-28 00:00
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV +1.25%E +0.941%K +3.79%G +0.047%	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -25.52%E -8.18%K -12.04%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-27 23:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 80.20%	4.05I 24.69%NM 19.80%	24.7%	2026-03-27 23:50