Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 86.44%1.16fair odd

EV -4.05%

Edge -3.65%

Kelly -36.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.31%86.52%86.58%88.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.081.081.1194.34%92.24%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)

Prediction 13.56%7.38fair odd

EV +8.44%

Edge +1.06%

Kelly +1.21%

Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.70%13.48%13.42%15.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.756.867.008.0017.39%14.58%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 86.44%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 13.56%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.37%E -7.89%K -139.48%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +8.44%E +1.06%K +1.21%G +0.102%	6.8%	2026-03-01 19:39
FanDuel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.64%E -6.15%K -83.00%G +0.000%	7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -1.05%E -0.143%K -0.166%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-01 19:38
Bovada🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.64%E -6.15%K -83.00%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -1.72%E -0.238%K -0.276%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-01 19:34
BetMGM🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.78%E -5.30%K -64.17%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-01 19:34
888sport🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.64%E -6.15%K -83.00%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-01 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.64%E -6.15%K -83.00%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-01 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.64%E -6.15%K -83.00%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-01 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.64%E -6.15%K -83.00%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-01 19:39
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.50%E -7.01%K -107.20%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-01 17:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.50%E -7.01%K -107.20%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-01 17:50
betPARX🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.50%E -7.01%K -107.20%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.11%E -0.730%K -0.852%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-01 17:54
DraftKings🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.78%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.50%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-01 19:49
Betway🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.64%E -6.15%K -83.00%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.89%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-01 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.18%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.78%G +0.000%	6.38I 15.67%NM 14.82%EV -13.52%E -2.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-01 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.18%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.78%G +0.000%	6.38I 15.67%NM 14.82%EV -13.52%E -2.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-01 19:49
BetUS🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.78%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -15.28%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-01 19:49
1xBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 84.31%EV -7.50%E -7.01%K -107.20%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -22.06%E -3.84%K -4.64%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-03-01 19:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.