Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.11
assuming max odds 8.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 86.48%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 13.52%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.25%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -7.46%E -6.98%K -106.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +16.25%E +1.89%K +2.14%G +0.347% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +14.90%E +1.75%K +1.99%G +0.296% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.46%E -6.98%K -106.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +8.14%E +1.02%K +1.16%G +0.095% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 12:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -6.60%E -6.11%K -82.48%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV +0.028%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.87%E -4.43%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 04:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.60%E -6.11%K -82.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 05:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.60%E -6.11%K -82.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 06:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.60%E -6.11%K -82.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 06:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.60%E -6.11%K -82.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 06:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.60%E -6.11%K -82.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.46%E -6.98%K -106.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.46%E -6.98%K -106.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.46%E -6.98%K -106.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.46%E -6.98%K -106.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.38%E -0.768%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.00%E -3.61%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.76%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 08:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.60%E -6.11%K -82.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.14%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.88%EV -4.00%E -3.61%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.12%EV -15.79%E -2.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.88%EV -4.00%E -3.61%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.12%EV -15.79%E -2.53%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -4.00%E -3.61%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -20.25%E -3.43%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 20:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 66.67% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 33.33% | 50.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |