The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Longhorns v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 62.82%1.59fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.90%62.87%62.73%63.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.501.501.5668.03%66.72%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 37.18%2.69fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.10%37.13%37.27%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.522.542.6242.92%39.63%39.45%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 62.82%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 37.18%. For Texas Longhorns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -2.01%E -1.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -13.36%E -5.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 17:57
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 18:01
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 17:59
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 17:59
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -4.44%E -1.73%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -4.44%E -1.73%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:59
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -6.67%E -2.66%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.58%E -0.984%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.66%E -5.21%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.66%E -5.21%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:00
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.66%E -5.21%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%4.8%2026-05-03 17:59