Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 91.46%1.09fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -3.78%
Kelly -79.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.45%91.30%91.36%93.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.09%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 8.54%11.71fair odd
EV +18.67%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.270%

assuming max odds 13.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.84%8.70%8.64%10.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.9011.0611.0013.9011.24%9.04%9.09%7.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 91.46%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 8.54%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.71. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.16%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.40%G +0.000%13.90I 7.19%NM 6.84%EV +18.67%E +1.34%K +1.45%G +0.270%5.2%2026-05-29 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.40%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.98%E +0.845%K +0.915%G +0.101%5.7%2026-05-29 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.79%E -5.62%K -193.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.45%E +0.204%K +0.222%G +0.005%5.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +2.45%E +0.204%K +0.222%G +0.005%6.4%2026-05-29 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +2.45%E +0.204%K +0.222%G +0.005%6.4%2026-05-29 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.40%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.82%E -0.158%K -0.173%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 16:58
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.62%E -7.55%K -762.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -1.82%E -0.158%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.62%E -7.55%K -762.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -1.82%E -0.158%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 17:00
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.62%E -7.55%K -762.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -1.82%E -0.158%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.96%E -3.78%K -79.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 17:00
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.96%E -3.78%K -79.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 16:58
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.79%E -5.62%K -193.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.79%E -5.62%K -193.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.79%E -5.62%K -193.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.09%E -0.554%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.63%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.71%EV -3.96%E -3.78%K -79.28%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.29%EV -21.88%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.71%EV -3.96%E -3.78%K -79.28%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.29%EV -21.88%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.61%EV -3.96%E -3.78%K -79.28%G +0.000%9.06I 11.04%NM 10.39%EV -22.65%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:59
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.45%EV -3.96%E -3.78%K -79.28%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.55%EV -24.02%E -2.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 86.94%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.06%9.5%2026-05-29 16:59