Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 47.94%2.09fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%47.63%48.00%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.982.0552.36%50.49%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 52.06%1.92fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -5.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.37%52.00%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.801.8358.48%56.10%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 47.94%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 52.06%. For Texas Longhorns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.72%E -0.839%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.42%E -5.41%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.72%E -0.839%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.42%E -5.41%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 00:00
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -2.20%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.98%E -6.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 00:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -2.20%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.98%E -6.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 00:00
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -2.20%E -1.08%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.98%E -6.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 23:59
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -2.68%E -1.32%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:59
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 23:59
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.86%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.03%E -3.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.25%E -2.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.51%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.51%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.99%E -3.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.43%E -4.41%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 00:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.43%E -4.41%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.73%E -2.59%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 00:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.43%E -4.41%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 23:59
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.43%E -4.41%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.86%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 00:00
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-06-17 00:00