Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

70%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 70.19%1.42fair odd

EV -1.74%

Edge -1.24%

Kelly -4.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.69%70.10%70.64%74.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.261.331.331.4079.37%75.06%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 29.81%3.35fair odd

EV +10.31%

Edge +2.79%

Kelly +3.82%

Growth +0.394%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.40%29.90%29.36%35.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.403.093.033.7041.67%32.35%33.00%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 70.19%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 29.81%. For Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -11.57%E -9.18%K -44.48%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +10.31%E +2.79%K +3.82%G +0.394%	6.4%	2026-02-27 23:09
DraftKings🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.19%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.37%E +0.402%K +0.570%G +0.008%	6.3%	2026-02-27 23:09
BetRivers🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.19%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.10%E -0.955%K -1.38%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-27 17:04
betPARX🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.19%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.10%E -0.955%K -1.38%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-27 17:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.19%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.10%E -0.955%K -1.38%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-27 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -4.00%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-27 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -4.00%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-27 17:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-27 22:14
BetUS🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -9.66%E -3.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-27 22:09
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-27 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-27 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-27 18:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.34%K -12.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-27 19:49
Betway🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.65%E -5.00%K -20.16%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-02-27 22:14
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.74%E -1.24%K -4.35%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-27 23:09
1xBet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 66.59%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63%NM 33.41%EV -18.61%E -6.82%K -10.76%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-02-27 22:34
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 64.69%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -25.99%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 35.31%EV -28.45%E -11.85%K -20.32%G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-02-27 17:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.