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Texas Longhorns v Baylor Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Texas Longhorns (Local)
assuming max odds 1.22
Baylor Bears (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 76.99%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 23.01%. For Baylor Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -8.38%E -7.04%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +5.84%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.095% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.84%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.095% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.36%E -0.800%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.51%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.66%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.96%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.56%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.56%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 22:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.07%E -4.98%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.56%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.