The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Longhorns v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 21:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV +5.77%
Edge +2.81%
Kelly +5.50%
Growth +0.317%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%50.88%52.00%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.821.802.0558.48%54.99%55.56%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%49.12%48.00%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.921.952.0057.47%52.13%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 51.60%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 48.40%. For Texas Longhorns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +5.77%E +2.81%K +5.50%G +0.317%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -15.78%E -9.07%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.19%E +1.60%K +3.19%G +0.102%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.32%E -8.09%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:29
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.48%E -5.07%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 21:29
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.48%E -5.07%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.16%E -2.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 21:30
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.61%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:29
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.61%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 21:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.16%E -4.58%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 21:29
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -10.22%E -5.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-22 21:29
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -10.22%E -5.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 21:29
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -10.22%E -5.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -10.22%E -5.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 21:29
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.77%E -6.88%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.