The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Longhorns v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 72.86%1.37fair odd
EV -0.912%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%72.61%73.07%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3680.00%77.61%77.52%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV +0.966%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.355%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.39%26.93%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.473.503.7233.33%28.84%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 72.86%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 27.14%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.966%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.51%K -31.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV +0.966%E +0.260%K +0.355%G +0.003%6.2%2026-04-17 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.51%K -31.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV +0.966%E +0.260%K +0.355%G +0.003%6.2%2026-04-17 17:34
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.423%E +0.114%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-17 17:34
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -8.93%E -7.14%K -35.71%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -0.120%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 22:50
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.20%E -6.51%K -31.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.29%E -0.636%K -0.881%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 14:49
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:10
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 18:40
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 14:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:29
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:29
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:34
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.912%E -0.671%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -18.58%E -6.19%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%5.1%2026-04-17 23:05