Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Prediction 70.56%1.42fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -11.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.16%70.65%70.56%72.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.331.3679.37%75.61%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.865%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%29.35%29.44%30.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.963.173.203.3033.78%31.57%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 70.56%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 29.44%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 20:02
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -8.15%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -8.15%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.74%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:34
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -10.80%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 20:14
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.45%E -4.06%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.45%E -4.06%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:29
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.15%E -4.63%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:29
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -6.86%E -5.20%K -21.43%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.84%EV -12.86%E -4.35%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 22:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 19:34
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -11.09%E -8.80%K -42.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -2.86%E -0.865%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:34
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -11.09%E -8.80%K -42.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -2.86%E -0.865%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -11.09%E -8.80%K -42.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -2.86%E -0.865%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.