Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Prediction 47.62%2.10fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.93%47.62%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0555.56%51.23%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 52.38%1.91fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%52.07%52.38%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.9557.80%55.60%55.56%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 47.62%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 52.38%. For Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.28%E -7.93%K -17.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.14%E +1.10%K +2.25%G +0.048%6.8%2026-05-15 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.28%E -7.93%K -17.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.14%E +1.10%K +2.25%G +0.048%6.8%2026-05-15 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.04%E -4.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.15%E -2.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 23:00
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.28%E -2.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.67%E -2.57%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.20%E -2.87%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 23:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 22:59
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 22:57
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.57%E -4.46%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.57%E -4.46%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 23:00
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.57%E -4.46%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.72%E -3.18%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 22:59
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 23:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.29%E -4.12%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 22:58
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.86%E -5.09%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 22:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.14%E -3.66%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.86%E -5.09%K -11.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 22:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.39%E -5.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.39%E -5.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.76%E -2.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.39%E -5.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 54.68%1.81I 55.25%NM 45.32%21.9%2026-05-15 22:59