Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 74.93%1.33fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -11.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%74.87%75.23%76.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.251.2982.64%80.00%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%25.13%24.77%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.383.703.753.9029.59%27.01%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 74.93%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 25.07%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -2.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -12.00%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -12.00%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:15
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 16:14
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:54
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 16:24
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.00%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.00%EV -15.26%E -4.51%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:23
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.22%E -0.569%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 16:24
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:24
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.22%E -0.569%K -0.766%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.22%E -0.569%K -0.766%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:39
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.22%E -0.569%K -0.766%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.