The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tennessee Volunteers v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 37.28%2.68fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -0.959%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.28%37.19%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6441.67%39.44%39.22%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 62.72%1.59fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.91%62.72%62.81%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.481.5669.44%67.04%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 37.28%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 62.72%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -1.57%E -0.595%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 14:54
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.32%E -0.885%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 04:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.32%E -0.885%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 04:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.32%E -0.885%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 04:19
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 04:09
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 10:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:49
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:44
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:39
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:39
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.30%E -2.09%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:50
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:49
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:29
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 07:13
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.40%E -3.87%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.40%E -3.87%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:39
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.40%E -3.87%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15%0.9%2026-05-10 15:44