The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tennessee Volunteers v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV -0.202%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.104%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%33.73%33.77%35.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.612.772.752.9538.31%36.10%36.30%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 66.17%1.51fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -7.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.13%66.27%66.23%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.421.4672.46%70.70%70.42%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 33.83%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 66.17%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.202%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.202%E -0.068%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.29%K -22.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.202%E -0.068%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.29%K -22.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:44
BetUS🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -8.69%E -6.29%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 21:44
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 21:44
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 23:54
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.04%E -4.25%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 21:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 21:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.27%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.70%E -4.75%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 21:43
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -6.63%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:42
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 23:35
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.04%E -4.25%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 03:23
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 22:04
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:24
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -11.70%E -4.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -3.39%E -2.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-05-08 21:39