The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Tennessee Volunteers v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 37.10%2.70fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%37.12%37.13%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.602.7741.67%39.01%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 62.90%1.59fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.88%62.87%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5670.92%67.69%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 37.10%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 62.90%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV +2.78%E +1.00%K +1.57%G +0.044%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -11.32%E -8.03%K -27.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 21:54
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.67%E -0.631%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:52
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -2.41%E -0.918%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.06%E -7.03%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 15:50
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -2.41%E -0.918%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.06%E -7.03%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 15:49
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -2.41%E -0.918%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.06%E -7.03%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 15:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.79%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.79%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.79%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:19
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.38%E -2.11%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.77%E -2.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 21:43
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.75%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.66%E -3.77%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:49
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.75%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.03%E -3.33%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.98%E -3.22%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.66%E -3.77%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 21:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.72%E -3.55%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.77%E -2.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.72%E -3.55%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.77%E -2.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:44
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.88%E -1.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 21:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.66%E -3.77%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 21:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%5.0%2026-05-09 21:55