Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.36
assuming max odds 3.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 70.68%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 29.32%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.82%E -6.84%K -30.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +4.09%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.066% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.88%E -2.85%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.00%E -4.51%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.00%E -4.51%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.58%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.00%E -4.51%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.58%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.29%E -3.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.00%E -4.51%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.24%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.70%E -5.08%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.76%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.00%E -4.51%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.88%E -2.85%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.00%E -4.51%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.29%E -3.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -9.69%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.29%E -3.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.29%E -3.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.29%E -3.95%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.41%E -5.66%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:14 |