Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 48.32%2.07fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.703%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%48.80%47.47%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.931.982.0456.50%51.88%50.63%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 51.68%1.93fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%51.20%52.53%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.821.792.0058.48%54.81%56.02%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 48.32%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 51.68%. For LSU Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.48%E -8.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.37%E +1.68%K +3.37%G +0.113%6.5%2026-04-05 16:45
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.783%E +0.402%K +0.824%G +0.006%6.8%2026-04-05 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.783%E +0.402%K +0.824%G +0.006%6.8%2026-04-05 16:44
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.783%E +0.402%K +0.824%G +0.006%6.8%2026-04-05 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.783%E +0.402%K +0.824%G +0.006%6.8%2026-04-05 16:44
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 15:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 15:24
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -1.43%E -0.703%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.04%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 15:40
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -2.40%E -1.19%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -11.10%E -6.46%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 13:04
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -2.40%E -1.19%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -11.10%E -6.46%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 13:05
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -2.40%E -1.19%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -11.10%E -6.46%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 13:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%3.4%2026-04-05 16:45