The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Tennessee Volunteers v East Tennessee St Buccaneers

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 73.60%1.36fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -14.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%73.63%73.68%75.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.43%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV +0.336%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.37%26.32%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.8029.85%28.48%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 73.60%; East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit): 26.40%. For East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.336%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.27%E -5.77%K -27.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.336%E +0.088%K +0.120%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 20:15
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 20:14
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.01%E -6.40%K -32.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 20:15
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.01%E -6.40%K -32.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.01%E -6.40%K -32.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.01%E -6.40%K -32.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:10
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 18:10
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 20:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.