Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers v East Carolina Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 64.42%1.55fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%64.50%64.38%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.451.451.5270.92%68.85%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 35.58%2.81fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.492%
Kelly +0.758%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.50%35.62%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.632.8540.00%37.84%38.02%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 64.42%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 35.58%. For East Carolina Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.40%E +0.492%K +0.758%G +0.011%5.0%2026-05-29 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.784%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.17%E -6.50%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.17%E -6.50%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 15:58
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.17%E -6.50%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.00%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.00%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 15:59
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.71%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.07%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 15:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 15:59
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 15:59
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 15:59
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -8.56%E -3.33%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:56
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 15:59
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%8.6%2026-05-29 15:59