Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers v Bellarmine Knights

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 91.80%1.09fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -5.29%
Kelly -181.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.73%91.51%91.80%92.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.031.03100.00%97.77%97.09%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bellarmine Knights (Visit)

Prediction 8.20%12.20fair odd
EV +6.57%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.548%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%8.49%8.20%10.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.8911.0013.0011.11%9.19%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 91.80%; Bellarmine Knights (Visit): 8.20%. For Bellarmine Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.36%E -6.24%K -318.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.57%E +0.506%K +0.548%G +0.036%5.7%2026-02-24 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.36%E -6.24%K -318.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.62%E -0.135%K -0.148%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 18:55
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.29%K -181.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.82%E -0.893%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.29%K -181.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.82%E -0.893%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.44%E -5.29%K -181.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.82%E -0.893%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 19:45
1xBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 90.20%EV -8.20%E -8.20%K +0.000%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.80%EV -24.58%E -2.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-24 18:20
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.44%E -5.29%K -181.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -26.22%E -2.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.