Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 23.10%4.33fair odd
EV -0.669%
Edge -0.156%
Kelly -0.203%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%23.29%23.08%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.014.004.3027.03%24.93%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 76.90%1.30fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -8.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.45%76.71%76.92%78.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.211.2784.03%82.23%82.64%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Local): 23.10%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 76.90%. For Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -0.669%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.669%E -0.156%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.95%E -5.74%K -33.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:09
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.72%E -6.43%K -38.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 17:19
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.49%E -7.13%K -44.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:09
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.49%E -7.13%K -44.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:10
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -2.98%E -0.709%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -8.49%E -7.13%K -44.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:09
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.18%E -5.07%K -28.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.18%E -5.07%K -28.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.18%E -5.07%K -28.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.72%E -6.43%K -38.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 17:19
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.88%E -3.10%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:49
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.64%E -3.75%K -19.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 03:20
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.44%EV -13.61%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -6.95%E -5.74%K -33.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 17:19
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -14.53%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.34%E -1.84%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 03:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.