Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prediction 70.69%1.41fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -10.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.59%70.77%71.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.331.331.3676.34%75.15%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 29.31%3.41fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -0.770%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%29.41%29.23%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.163.3533.33%31.61%31.65%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 70.69%; Utah Utes (Visit): 29.31%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.81%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 18:58
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 23:58
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -11.19%E -3.69%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.62%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.62%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:59
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.55%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 18:54
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 16:19
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 16:19
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.28%E -0.993%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -1.81%E -0.540%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.28%E -0.993%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-05-08 22:34