Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs v Tulane Green Wave

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prediction 69.80%1.43fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -11.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.29%69.88%69.88%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.341.331.3775.76%74.55%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulane Green Wave (Visit)

Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV -0.329%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.12%30.12%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.093.093.3033.90%32.38%32.36%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 69.80%; Tulane Green Wave (Visit): 30.20%. For Tulane Green Wave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.329%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -8.79%E -2.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -8.79%E -2.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 23:15
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.38%E -3.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:10
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.08%E -3.73%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 00:55
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -6.97%E -2.26%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 23:24
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -5.77%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:00
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.17%E -5.39%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.87%E -5.96%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.329%E -0.100%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.87%E -5.96%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.87%E -5.96%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 20:00
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.87%E -5.96%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%5.5%2026-03-06 23:28