The School of College Oddsodds.college
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TCU Horned Frogs v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prediction 56.98%1.76fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.50%56.91%57.14%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.651.651.7261.73%60.63%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 43.02%2.32fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.09%42.86%45.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.192.2248.78%46.02%45.66%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 56.98%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 43.02%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -2.00%E -1.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -11.38%E -5.52%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 19:55
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 18:09
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 20:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 19:40
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 20:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.07%E -3.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 20:39
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 20:30
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 16:38
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 20:30
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 20:30
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.81%E -5.76%K -11.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%5.1%2026-03-27 22:55