Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 2.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 59.72%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 40.28%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -3.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.17%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.65%E -3.57%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.74%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.24%E -3.98%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.24%E -3.98%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.24%E -3.98%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.95%E -3.01%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.24%E -3.98%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.24%E -3.98%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.24%E -3.98%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -3.73%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -3.73%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 03:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.84%E -4.38%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.03%E -5.22%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 13:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |