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Tarleton State Texans v Texas Longhorns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tarleton State Texans (Local)
assuming max odds 6.07
Texas Longhorns (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tarleton State Texans (Local): 17.67%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 82.33%. For Tarleton State Texans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.07I 16.47%NM 15.69%EV +7.28%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.104% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.31%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.739%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.80%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 15:57 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.80%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.80%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.80%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.80%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 02:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -4.56%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -5.45%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.33%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -8.80%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -8.80%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.49%EV -10.40%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.51%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.63%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 15:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.75% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.25% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 22:20 |