The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tarleton State Texans v Cal Baptist Lancers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarleton State Texans (Local)

Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV -5.78%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%33.65%33.65%37.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.512.722.752.8039.84%36.82%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit)

Prediction 66.35%1.51fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.75%66.35%66.35%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.431.421.4970.42%69.74%70.42%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tarleton State Texans (Local): 33.65%; Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit): 66.35%. For Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.49, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 19:05
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:48
MyBookie.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.47%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:23
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -15.54%E -6.19%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -1.14%E -0.763%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%8.4%2026-04-18 19:50