The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Stetson Hatters v Virginia Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters (Local)

Prediction 25.12%3.98fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%25.31%25.10%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.383.643.703.8029.59%27.50%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 74.88%1.34fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -14.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.94%74.69%74.90%75.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.251.251.2880.65%79.75%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stetson Hatters (Local): 25.12%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 74.88%. For Virginia Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.28, with an expected value of -4.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.65%E -4.48%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:25
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.15%E -5.76%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 19:45
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.15%E -5.76%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 19:45
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.15%E -5.76%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 19:45
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.90%E -3.86%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.90%E -3.86%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:10
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:24
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.34%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.15%E -3.24%K -14.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:30
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.00%EV -15.10%E -4.47%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.00%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.