Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters v UCF Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters (Local)

Prediction 26.97%3.71fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.694%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%27.07%26.93%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7830.77%28.71%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCF Knights (Visit)

Prediction 73.03%1.37fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -13.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%72.93%73.07%75.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.281.3180.65%78.13%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stetson Hatters (Local): 26.97%; UCF Knights (Visit): 73.03%. For Stetson Hatters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV +1.93%E +0.511%K +0.694%G +0.013%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -9.44%E -7.61%K -39.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 21:44
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.92%E -0.812%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.79%E -4.48%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 12:15
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.92%E -0.812%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.52%E -5.09%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 22:09
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.32%E -3.30%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 07:48
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.79%E -4.48%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 01:44
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.79%E -4.48%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.25%E -5.71%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 22:04
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.71%E -6.97%K -34.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 21:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.79%E -4.48%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 16:34
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.52%E -5.09%K -23.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 20:49
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.52%E -5.09%K -23.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 20:50
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.52%E -5.09%K -23.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 20:49
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.79%E -4.48%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%5.2%2026-03-24 22:09