Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters v South Florida Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters (Local)

Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.53%34.93%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.602.642.8041.15%38.42%37.88%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Florida Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 65.07%1.54fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.83%64.47%65.07%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.461.441.5069.93%68.49%69.20%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stetson Hatters (Local): 34.93%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 65.07%. For Stetson Hatters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.20%E -0.787%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:50
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 17:03
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.40%E -2.39%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 16:54
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:55
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -12.33%E -4.91%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -3.04%E -2.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:45
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -15.13%E -6.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.39%E -1.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -15.13%E -6.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.39%E -1.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -15.13%E -6.23%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.39%E -1.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%6.2%2026-04-21 22:20