Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters v South Carolina Upstate Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 23:37 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters (Local)

Prediction 52.97%1.89fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -5.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.38%53.13%52.95%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.741.8059.88%57.16%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 47.03%2.13fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.514%
Kelly +0.962%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%46.87%47.05%48.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.002.002.1553.76%50.06%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stetson Hatters (Local): 52.97%; South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Visit): 47.03%. For South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.53%E -6.91%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.11%E +0.514%K +0.962%G +0.011%6.4%2026-02-25 23:28
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.41%E -5.51%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.25%E -0.593%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -9.41%E -5.51%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -1.72%E -0.821%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -9.41%E -5.51%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -1.72%E -0.821%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.60%E -1.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.24%E -3.52%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.35%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 23:29
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.65%E -2.58%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.65%E -2.58%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.65%E -2.58%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 23:29
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.24%E -4.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 23:35
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.24%E -4.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.24%E -4.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 23:34
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -6.77%E -3.84%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -12.53%E -6.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.