Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters v Central Arkansas Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters (Local)

Prediction 60.54%1.65fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -7.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%60.89%60.61%62.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.5866.67%64.68%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 39.46%2.53fair odd
EV +0.225%
Edge +0.089%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%39.11%39.39%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.392.382.5442.55%41.84%42.11%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stetson Hatters (Local): 60.54%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 39.46%. For Central Arkansas Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.225%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -9.19%E -6.13%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV +0.225%E +0.089%K +0.146%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 15:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.90%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 15:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 14:59
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 19:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.