The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Stanford Cardinal v Saint Mary's Gaels

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 63.73%1.57fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +3.12%
Kelly +7.93%
Growth +0.409%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.91%63.23%64.16%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.521.6568.97%65.70%66.01%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit)

Prediction 36.27%2.76fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.77%35.84%42.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.472.422.7044.05%40.55%41.24%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 63.73%; Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit): 36.27%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV +5.15%E +3.12%K +7.93%G +0.409%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -17.67%E -7.78%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -0.582%E -0.373%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -17.30%E -7.59%K -13.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -0.582%E -0.373%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -17.30%E -7.59%K -13.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 17:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -0.582%E -0.373%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -17.30%E -7.59%K -13.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.49%E -1.63%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 22:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.95%E -5.40%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 21:04
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.07%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:02
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.59%E -5.24%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.07%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.59%E -5.24%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.07%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 20:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%12.2%2026-05-12 21:30