Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v Pittsburgh Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd

EV +16.73%

Edge +5.87%

Kelly +9.04%

Growth +1.51%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.10%40.07%41.10%42.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.182.382.302.8545.87%42.03%43.48%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 59.04%1.69fair odd

EV -4.35%

Edge -2.69%

Kelly -7.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.37%59.93%58.90%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.411.561.601.6270.92%64.10%62.70%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 40.96%; Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit): 59.04%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +16.73%E +5.87%K +9.04%G +1.51%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -16.75%E -11.88%K -40.85%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +16.73%E +5.87%K +9.04%G +1.51%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -16.75%E -11.88%K -40.85%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 00:59
BetUS🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV +13.45%E +4.86%K +7.60%G +1.02%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -16.75%E -11.88%K -40.85%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-14 01:00
FanDuel🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-13 19:55
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-13 19:55
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-13 19:54
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-12 23:54
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-13 03:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-13 20:00
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-13 16:40
1xBet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.26%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-13 22:44
BetRivers🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.71%E -4.91%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 23:05
betPARX🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.71%E -4.91%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 23:05
Bally Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.71%E -4.91%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 23:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.