Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 56.51%1.77fair odd

EV -3.37%

Edge -1.97%

Kelly -4.75%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.00%56.44%56.28%57.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.621.671.671.7161.73%60.03%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 43.49%2.30fair odd

EV -3.45%

Edge -1.55%

Kelly -2.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.49%43.56%43.72%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.092.142.152.2247.85%46.67%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 56.51%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 43.49%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -3.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetUS🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-11 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -9.10%E -4.36%K -8.35%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-11 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -9.10%E -4.36%K -8.35%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-11 18:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.50%E -2.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-11 20:00
DraftKings🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.50%E -2.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.93%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-11 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.07%E -3.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.67%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-11 19:13
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-11 15:45
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-11 00:53
1xBet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.80%E -3.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-11 16:10
FanDuel🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.45%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.83%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-11 16:50
BetRivers🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.19%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-11 16:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.19%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-11 16:45
betPARX🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.19%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-11 16:45
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-11 16:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%	5.3%	2026-03-12 00:50