Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v NC State Wolfpack

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 36.78%2.72fair odd
EV -0.695%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.409%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.89%37.19%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.532.7041.67%39.18%39.53%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 63.22%1.58fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%63.11%62.81%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.491.481.5668.97%67.32%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 36.78%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 63.22%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.695%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.695%E -0.257%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.695%E -0.257%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.33%E -5.75%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:24
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.53%E -0.956%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.33%E -5.75%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:29
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 18:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.95%E -2.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:54
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -7.68%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -5.80%E -3.89%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:44
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.45%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 05:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:14
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.79%E -3.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.80%E -3.89%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.79%E -3.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.80%E -3.89%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 17:29
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.79%E -3.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.80%E -3.89%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 17:34
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.38%E -0.882%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 34.64%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.36%8.5%2026-05-10 19:33