Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 27.06%3.69fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.609%
Kelly +0.829%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%27.12%26.93%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7830.77%28.77%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 72.94%1.37fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -14.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%72.88%73.07%75.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.92%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 27.06%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 72.94%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV +2.30%E +0.609%K +0.829%G +0.019%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -9.56%E -7.71%K -39.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 20:30
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.57%E -0.713%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.37%E -5.80%K -27.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 21:00
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.57%E -0.713%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.37%E -5.80%K -27.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 04:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 20:45
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.45%E -3.40%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 16:15
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:30
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.27%EV -6.90%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.73%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:10
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.64%E -5.19%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:25
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.64%E -5.19%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:25
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.64%E -5.19%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:25
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.33%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 20:50
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.91%E -4.58%K -20.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.52I 28.41%NM 22.12%1.00I 100.00%NM 77.88%28.4%2026-04-18 20:54