Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd
EV +7.76%
Edge +2.35%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.262%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%32.17%32.56%34.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.692.892.863.3037.17%34.62%34.97%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 67.35%1.48fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -8.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.29%67.83%67.44%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4375.76%71.60%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 32.65%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 67.35%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +7.76%E +2.35%K +3.37%G +0.262%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -11.10%E -8.41%K -34.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 20:24
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +6.12%E +1.88%K +2.72%G +0.167%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -11.10%E -8.41%K -34.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 20:13
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 17:44
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 20:24
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.63%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.63%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.61%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.04%E -3.58%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 20:03
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:44
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:45
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:44
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.71%E -4.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.69%E -2.58%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:20
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.16%E -4.52%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -3.69%E -2.58%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%3.0%2026-04-04 20:24