Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 32.66%3.06fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%32.72%32.56%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.852.833.0035.71%35.10%35.40%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 67.34%1.48fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -10.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%67.28%67.44%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4273.53%71.68%71.68%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 32.66%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 67.34%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.03%E -0.677%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:39
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.30%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 00:39
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.30%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 08:15
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.95%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -6.39%E -4.60%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 18:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -6.60%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 15:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:14
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:00
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 17:20
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:01
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.72%E -4.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 19:59
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 13:14
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 13:15
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%5.2%2026-04-05 19:44