Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 18:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 50.80%1.97fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.800%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%50.42%51.07%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.832.0055.56%54.12%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 49.20%2.03fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.58%48.93%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.911.9556.50%53.01%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 50.80%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 49.20%. For Stanford Cardinal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +1.60%E +0.800%K +1.60%G +0.026%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -12.92%E -7.30%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.00%E -2.68%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.00%E -2.68%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:50
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.00%E -2.68%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.02%E -3.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.50%E -3.99%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:50
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.56%E -4.76%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:10
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.56%E -4.76%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.