Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. John's Red Storm v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. John's Red Storm (Local)

Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV +6.33%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%24.11%24.12%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.944.004.4028.57%25.40%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 75.83%1.32fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -3.53%
Kelly -17.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%75.89%75.88%78.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.241.2684.75%81.18%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 24.17%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 75.83%. For St. John's Red Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +6.33%E +1.44%K +1.86%G +0.118%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -10.52%E -8.91%K -58.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 15:59
1xBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +2.70%E +0.636%K +0.832%G +0.023%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.72%E -5.47%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 15:47
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +1.50%E +0.356%K +0.468%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -9.76%E -8.20%K -51.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-01 16:00
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +1.50%E +0.356%K +0.468%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -9.76%E -8.20%K -51.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-01 16:00
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.21%E -4.17%K -20.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 15:58
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.72%E -5.47%K -29.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 16:00
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.34%E -0.834%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 15:59
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.75%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.97%E -4.81%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 16:00
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.75%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.97%E -4.81%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.21%E -4.17%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -10.10%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -4.45%E -3.53%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -10.10%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -4.45%E -3.53%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 15:59
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.21%E -4.17%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 16:00
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.45%E -3.53%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 15:59
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.42%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.21%E -4.17%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-01 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.