The School of College Oddsodds.college
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St. John's Red Storm v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. John's Red Storm (Local)

Prediction 21.39%4.68fair odd
EV +10.35%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.257%

assuming max odds 5.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.23%21.24%21.38%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.524.405.1625.00%22.14%22.73%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 78.61%1.27fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -18.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%78.76%78.62%81.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.191.2286.96%84.36%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 21.39%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 78.61%. For St. John's Red Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV +10.35%E +2.01%K +2.49%G +0.257%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -9.59%E -8.34%K -63.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV +10.35%E +2.01%K +2.49%G +0.257%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -9.59%E -8.34%K -63.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 20:00
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +4.79%E +0.977%K +1.23%G +0.059%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.81%E -7.59%K -55.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 19:59
Caesars🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.58%E +0.333%K +0.422%G +0.007%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.66%E -4.72%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 19:57
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.63%E -0.354%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.45%E -5.42%K -33.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 19:59
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.66%E -4.72%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.66%E -4.72%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 19:58
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.97%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.23%E -6.13%K -40.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 19:59
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.97%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.23%E -6.13%K -40.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 20:00
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.97%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.23%E -6.13%K -40.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 20:00
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.66%E -4.72%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 19:59
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.09%E -3.35%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 19:59
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.46%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.66%E -4.72%K -28.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.