The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles v UL Monroe Warhawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 76.70%1.30fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -3.94%
Kelly -20.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.88%76.83%76.70%78.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.221.221.2482.64%81.97%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit)

Prediction 23.30%4.29fair odd
EV +0.182%
Edge +0.042%
Kelly +0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%23.17%23.30%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.024.004.3025.64%24.90%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 76.70%; UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit): 23.30%. For UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.182%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.19%E -5.94%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.182%E +0.042%K +0.055%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 12:25
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.42%E -5.27%K -29.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:48
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.42%E -5.27%K -29.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.42%E -5.27%K -29.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.42%E -5.27%K -29.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.42%E -5.27%K -29.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.19%E -5.94%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.42%E -5.27%K -29.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.89%E -3.94%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.