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Southern Miss Golden Eagles v Troy Trojans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)
assuming max odds 1.30
Troy Trojans (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.84
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 74.15%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 25.85%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.84, with an expected value of -0.720%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -0.720%E -0.187%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -0.720%E -0.187%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 78.31% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 21.69% | 27.7% | 2026-03-20 22:29 |