The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles v Troy Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 70.45%1.42fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -11.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.12%70.46%70.50%71.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.341.341.3676.34%74.89%74.63%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV -1.000%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.425%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%29.54%29.50%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.133.143.3533.33%31.91%31.85%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 70.45%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 29.55%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.000%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:34
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:14
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 03:40
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -9.57%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:39
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:39
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:35
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:43
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.71%E -5.89%K -24.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -1.000%E -0.298%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:39
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.71%E -5.89%K -24.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 70.23%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.77%8.7%2026-03-21 18:49